How to Retire Really Quick? And How Quick is Really Quick?

Retiring really quick is worth it, whichever way one looks at it. So how quick is really quick?

Assuming you start earning at the age of 22, in that case how fast can you manage to retire? By age 50? Or 40? Or 30? Or still better, 27?

There are many people who have managed to attain financial freedom which means they have accumulated enough capital to last more than a life-time and that has essentially given them the golden choice to retire should they want to.

They now live life from the level of f**k you!

One of the inspirational stories for anyone wanting to become financially independent is the story of Jacob.

Here's what the "About me" page on his blog (http://earlyretirementextreme.com/about) says:

"Current networth (2016) : 117 years worth of annual expenses.

My name is Jacob. My greatest claim to fame and overall impact on the world is probably this blog and the concept of ERE.

Before that I used to be a nuclear astrophysicist, but in reality I’ve done many other different and (to me) interesting things and my aim is to continue this way of life for the rest of my life. Never getting bored.

ERE is much much more than just “retiring extremely early” by “sacrificing travel and expensive restaurants”. It is effectively a philosophy of life." 

Read the above again, more carefully this time - this guy has managed to accumulate 117 years worth of annual expenses.

That's phenomenal, especially given most of the working folks are barely able to survive and are living paycheck to paycheck to paycheck.

Living paycheck to paycheck to paycheck is like playing musical chairs where you are in trouble when the music stops and you don't get to sit on one of the chairs.

You are out.

Elsewhere in the blog, Jacob also talks about how he manged to become financially independent in 5 years. That's nothing short of pure magic. 5 years is unimaginable.

Lot of people who have worked for 10-15 years are still not in a position to  become financially independent in next 5 years. They need another 10-15 years or maybe more.

This story is truly inspirational.

For understanding how this was done and learning from this real experience, read this amazing story at: http://earlyretirementextreme.com/how-i-became-financially-independent-in-5-years-part-i.html.

Here's what the above blog post says:

"My journey towards financial independence was not always with financial independence in mind per se.

Had that been my sole goal all a long I would have done things differently and probably faster e.g. 3-4 years instead of 5.

If I had a six figure income, which I never had, I would be able to do it in 2 or 3 years."

Read that again, it says it is possible to attain financial freedom in 2 or 3 years.

That means if you start working when you are 22, you are done when you become 25.

That's seemingly crazy but certainly possible as it looks like, provided you understand and follow the ERE principles.

How Handling an Assh*** Can Make You a Better Person?

When you handle an assh***, be it at your workplace (where they are most commonly found and in large numbers at that), in your neighborhood, in a public place like a bus stop or in your family it should be seen as a blessing in disguise.

An assh*** can make you into one yourself if you let it. Or it can make you a better person if you strive for that.

Assh***s at workplace are extremely hard to tackle. Their toxicity is so hard to avoid.

How do you recognize an assh*** when you meet one at your workplace?

• They would write needless emails with deliberate and malicious agenda
• They are part of the coterie and a stooge of the top man
• They would meet people on the sly to collect information to discredit and demean you
• They go on lunch with other ass***s (so now you know when it's easy to count them all)
• They would suck the toes, lick the boots and lie prostrate in front of the king of the stooges
• They would cut others down so that they can grow
• They carry an artificial and fake smile like a Cheshire cat
• They ooze toxicity and negativity in their emails
• They would create more assh***s in their own teams

So how can handling an assh*** at workplace make you a better person? In several ways in fact and here are some of those:

• You develop a lot of patience. The irrational tantrums and the toxicity of an assh*** slowly starts amusing you rather than causing you any concern
• You realize that the world is a nasty place full of poisonous snakes (read assh***s) and accept the world as it is rather than as it should be
• You start analyzing life in a much wider sense and with a deeper appreciation and understand fully well how small things make the big things
• You become increasingly positive to fight the negativity caused by the assh*** and maintain complete balance in your mind
• You don't say anything at all when you know you would say something nasty to the assh*** and rightly so (it is better to say nothing when you would want to say something bad only)
• You acquire philosophical outlook in life and look at things from an altogether different but very positive perspective
• You never reply to bullshit emails from an assh***s in kind and make sure you retain positivism and professionalism come what may

Remember an assh*** is an assh*** is an assh*** and will remain that way forever. You should never be one or become one. Life is too short for you to live it as an asshole.

There are better ways to spend the 80-100 odd years you have been gifted by God. Don't live it like an assh*** would. Live it in a nice an positive way. That's the only way that's worth it.

Why Educating Kids in India is Economically a Bad Idea and How is it Ruining their Parent's Retirement Plan?

India is a poor country.

The GNI (Gross National Income) per capita using Atlas method (used by the World Bank to estimate the size of economies) in terms of current US$ in 2014 for India was USD 1570.

(Source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD/countries/IN-8S-XN?display=graph)

That roughly translates to INR 102050 (assuming 1 USD = 65 INR at current rates).

Note - the above numbers haven't been adjusted for the same time period and for this post that is not really that relevant.

So an average Indian family of 4 members will be having an annual income of INR 408200. Ignoring the taxes altogether, this would mean the monthly income comes to around INR 34017.

Is that good enough to educate your kids and then be in a position where you will still have enough left to spend money on the essential stuff?

Looking at the abnormal school fees, the above would be a herculean task.

How much money is needed to educate a kid in a school in India in a city like Delhi and Gurgaon?

Assuming an average monthly fee of INR 10000 (which includes fees, annual charges, books, stationary, uniform, charges for events like annual day, school bus) for two kids the yearly expenses will come to be INR 240000. Or around 59% of yearly income!

Which mean for the 15 years of school education (Play Group, LKG, UKG and then from class I to class XII) the total cost for one kid would come to an astounding amount of  INR 18 lacs.

So how will the family eat? how will they pay home rent or home loan EMI or both, in some cases? how will they pay water and electricity bills? how will they pay for doctor's fees and medicine? how will they pay bus and auto fares?

The list of even the essential stuff is really too long. And the costs would be much higher than what a comfortable number should like.

This shows something is clearly wrong. When 59% of an average Indian family's income is needed for kid's education it has a drastically adverse on their overall standard of living.

The other problem is as severe as the one above. This has a direct, negative impact on the parent's retirement plan also.

Given the lack of social security in India, the problem gets compounded many times for  an average Indian parent. They find life tough now and will find it perhaps even tougher in the future!

Where is the money to save and invest for retirement?

Saving and investing for retirement is slowly becoming a dream that may alas remain a dream for many of the parents in India.

There was a song in movie which had the following lines:

Where is the time to hate, when there is so little time to love
Come on let' s sing sing sing
Come on let' s dance dance dance
Come on have fun fun fun 

(Source - http://www.hindilyrics.net/lyrics/of-Where%20Is%20The%20Time%20To%20Hate.html)

For parents in India this could be written as:

Where is the money for retirement, when there is so little money for living now
Come on let' s cry cry cry (what else is there to do?)
Come on let' s pray pray pray (to God, who else?)
Come on have fun fun fun (this part shouldn't change!)

May the force be with the parents in India. May they get more money. May they be in a position to save some for retirement as well.

It is Very Crude to Flaunt that You are a Part of the Coterie

Have you come across an ass blatantly flaunting that he belongs to an exclusive group?

It is rude. It is crude too. And it is abominable and highly obnoxious as well.

This happens in organizations that are run by a coterie. Not all, but some of those who are a part of the coterie seem to take things too seriously. That is funny at the best and toxic at the worst.

And for all you know, this group of coterie is given a nice name - management committee!

Howsoever crass and absurd it may be, the others generally have no choice but to tolerate and bear the stupid antics, superior but loathsome attitude and toxic actions of the coterie.

The real problem may actually be with the head of the coterie. She is the one who forms and nurtures the coterie, creates an unprofessional set-up where loyalty is everything and merit has no place.

She is also the one who creates artificial reporting structures to ensure the comfort zone around her remains unchallenged and unchanged.

Others may not have respect for the coterie but then have no choice. And the mantra they ought to follow is very simple - lick the coterie's boots or run away in their own boots.

If you have self-respect and you are professional, you should run away in your own boots. And if you are good for nothing and a loyalist then you must lick the coterie's boots so that they don't fire you and you get to keep your boots!

However, if you don't like it but are not able to move out then you are seriously stuck.

You may hate every time you have to interact with the coterie and their head but unless you have an option in hand you will remain a wage slave.

It is undoubtedly very hard to survive when you are stuck in a toxic workplace infested with coterie culture. It is very hard but then you must wait it out till you have an option.

That's a smart choice but yes the going till then is going to be a tough one!

And yes, it's true: it is very crude to flaunt that you are a part of the coterie. That makes others loose respect for you and makes them leave as well.

9 Nuggets from the Ted Talk by Nigel Marsh on Work Life Balance

The human civilization is currently passing through an age which is dominated by huge business corporations that create wealth majorly for the capitalists and a little bit for the "workers".

The idea behind paying decent wages to the workers is to sustain and augment the middle class which is the pivot on which consumerism runs.

In addition, the current education system has perhaps been designed to serve as an assembly line for continuously producing "corporate rats" to keep the huge business corporations running.

Work life balance is perhaps the biggest dilemma the corporate rats have to always contend with. In this context, there is this Ted Talk by Nigel Marsh on work life balance which is an excellent take on this subject.

The term "work life" seems to give an impression that work and life are disjoint sets. However, it is more appropriate to view work as a sub-set of life!

Here are 9 nuggets from Ted Talk by Nigel Marsh:

• I'd like all of you to pause for a moment, you wretched weaklings, and take stock of your miserable existence. Now that was the advice that St. Benedict gave his rather startled followers in the fifth century. It was the advice that I decided to follow myself when I turned 40.
• So I stepped back from the workforce, and I spent a year at home with my wife and four young children. But all I learned about work-life balance from that year was that I found it quite easy to balance work and life when I didn't have any work.
• And the reality of the society that we're in is there are thousands and thousands of people out there leading lives of quiet, screaming desperation, where they work long, hard hours at jobs they hate to enable them to buy things they don't need to impress people they don't like.
• We should stop looking outside. It's up to us as individuals to take control and responsibility for the type of lives that we want to lead. If you don't design your life, someone else will design it for you, and you may just not like their idea of balance.
• We need to elongate the time frame upon which we judge the balance in our life, but we need to elongate it without falling into the trap of the "I'll have a life when I retire, when my kids have left home, when my wife has divorced me, my health is failing, I've got no mates or interests left." A day is too short; "after I retire" is too long. There's got to be a middle way.
• Now I don't mean to mock, but being a fit 10-hour-a-day office rat isn't more balanced; it's more fit. Lovely though physical exercise may be, there are other parts to life - there's the intellectual side; there's the emotional side; there's the spiritual side.
• As I was walking out of his bedroom, he said, "Dad?" I went, "Yes, mate?" He went, "Dad, this has been the best day of my life, ever." I hadn't done anything, hadn't taken him to Disney World or bought him a Playstation. 
• Now my point is the small things matter. Being more balanced doesn't mean dramatic upheaval in your life. With the smallest investment in the right places, you can radically transform the quality of your relationships and the quality of your life.
• Because if enough people do it, we can change society's definition of success away from the moronically simplistic notion that the person with the most money when he dies wins, to a more thoughtful and balanced definition of what a life well lived looks like.

Source -  https://www.ted.com/talks/nigel_marsh_how_to_make_work_life_balance_work/transcript?language=en

Science On Sphere (SOS) Show at National Science Museum, New Delhi

The Science On Sphere (SOS) Show at National Science Museum, New Delhi was inaugurated in June month of year 2016.

It shows various facets of earth and the solar system. It also beautifully explains what makes life possible on earth and helps sustain it.

It also provides a grim reminder that unless human beings conserve planet earth it is slowly hurtling towards extinction like what happened to Dinosaurs ages ago!

How to Start Worrying Less or Better Stop Worrying At All?

This is a very important question: why do we worry in general?

And here's another equally important question: why do we worry so much on certain occasions?

The real reason is the fear of loss.

It could be the fear of loss of one or more of the following:

• Loss of your job which may be lousy but which you desperately need to cling on to so as to be able to pay for your living expenses (this pertains to the money you need to buy food, pay home rent/EMI and sundry bills like water, electricity, gas).
• Loss of someone you like and love temporarily or even worse permanently maybe because of death (the someone can include your family, friends and other social connects).
• Loss of time that you could have spent in a better way (the time here pertains to time spent waiting in a queue, meeting someone you hate at the core but can't avoid, time working at a job with ass-like colleagues you can't stand even for a second).
• Loss of stuff that you bought to make your life better (washing machine, refrigerator, some gadget to connect to Internet but no TV).
• Loss of health leading to not only unnecessary expenses but also physical and mental discomfort (this pertains to being in a position to lead life independently both in a physical and mental sense which means you are not either in and out of a hospital or a mental asylum).
• Loss of spiritual, emotional, physical and sexual relation with your life partner (it is painful to be in a relation with your life-partner which is merely social, economic and legal in nature).
• Loss of ability to pay for the big expenses in life (this would include the big ticket items that cost a truck-load of cash like retirement pool, kid's education, kid's marriage, medical emergencies, accidents, legal cases slapped on you).
• Loss of social and economic status owing to macro-economic forces, major goof-ups made by you, unethical practices you or someone else indulged in, or plain bad luck.

It is essentially your assessment of one of more of the above losses having high likelihood that causes fear and hence makes you worry.

So how to start worrying less or better stop worrying at all?

One of the ways to do that is to understand what types of losses are in your control and what are not.

And then focus on the losses where you have some level of control on and forget about the rest.

Wherever you have control you should take the right action but leave the final outcome to itself.

Remember there's really nothing that is under your full control!

Outcome is determined by your action, factors beyond your control and some kind of an "X factor" that you may not even know is there in the first place.

A very helpful approach to use is Karmanya Vadhikaraste Maa Phaleshu Kadachan.

The essence of this approach is not to lust after a favorable outcome but to focus on the right action, come what may.

Just think of it, only your action is in your control. The final outcome is never!

Merit of Fairness to Everyone and Demerit of Coterie Culture

Tulsidas was a Hindu poet-saint, reformer and philosopher.



Here are two famous couplets (doha - दोहा) from him that dwell beautifully on the merit of fairness to everyone and demerit of coterie culture.

Merit of Fairness to Everyone

मुखिया मुख सों चाहिये, खान पान को एक |
पाले पोसे सकल अंग, तुलसी सहित विवेक | |

अर्थ : तुलसीदास जी कहते हैं कि मुखिया मुख के समान होना चाहिए जो खाता-पिता तो अकेला है, लेकिन सब अंगों का पालन-पोषण विवेकपूर्वक करता है | 

Meaning:

The head of a family or an organization should be like the mouth. Though the mouth indulges in drinking and feeding only by itself it takes cares of the other parts of the body in a fair and judicious manner so that the body as a whole functions properly.

The idea is that the head of a family or an organization should know fully well that every member or employee needs to be taken care of in a fair and judicious manner for the whole system to function effectively.

Demerit of Coterie Culture

मंत्री गुरु अरु वैद जो, प्रिय बोलहिं भय आस |
राज धरम तन तीनि कर होहिं वेगि हो नास ||

अर्थ : गोस्वामीजी कहते हैं कि मंत्री, गुरु और वैद्य यदि भय या लाभ की आशा से हित की बात न कहकर प्रिय बोलते हैं तो क्रमशः राज्य, धर्म एवं शरीर का शीघ्र ही नाश हो जाता है | 

Meaning:

If a king's advisor, a spiritual guru or a medical doctor suggests something nice (but not really right and appropriate) due to either fear or greed then it leads to decline of the state, religion and body respectively.

Everyone should use their expertise in an unbiased manner and based on the facts and not indulge in flattery due to either fear or freed.

The idea is that in an organization where the top man promotes coterie culture and his stooges indulge in flattery due to either fear or freed then the organization will stop growing and stagnate, gradually decline and eventually close down.

It's All in the Family - Do You Feel So About Your Place of Work?

Well, if you do so, welcome to the real world.

A world where some people at your place of work literally get on to your nerves.

A world where you find asses having a great time.

A world where you see Cheshire cats showing their smartness.

And a world where some people get something which they don't really deserve.

The "All in the Family" kind of culture at your place of work will throw following strange situations at you:

•     Some people are more like college friends than colleagues
•     Some people do just one thing - scratch each others' back
•     Some people are no more than a a bloody club of mutual admirers
•     Some people are like stooges of the top dog
•     Some people operate as a close-knit coterie

It's all in the family means:

• The coterie of the top man and his stooges are more like a family of asses than professional colleagues
• The coterie gets a royal treatment
• The coterie is a like an extended family on the weekends
• The coterie protects each others' backs
• The coterie stays quiet when one of the members is found wanting
• The coterie spews venom against an outsider when they sense an opportunity and if they don't get an opportunity they create one
• The coterie goes for lunch together like a family does!
• The coterie maintains secrecy and holds lot of information close to their chest
• The coterie talks behind the back of outsiders and creates wrong impressions and perceptions
• The coterie is disconnected from the ground reality
• The coterie takes decisions with utmost secrecy and with a hidden, evil agenda

Key Financial Terms and Ratios that are Useful for Evaluating Stocks - Part 1

For analyzing the stocks that look promising and then selecting the ones in which you can invest your hard-earned money it is helpful to be aware of and clearly understand some of the key financial terms and ratios.

Here are some such key financial terms and ratios that are useful for evaluating stocks:

• CMP or P (Current Market Price) - as the name also suggests, is the price at which the stock is currently trading. P keeps on fluctuating from one second to another (when the stock market is open, of course!).
• BV or B (Book Value) - is the value of the assets held by the company and indicates the cash that will get freed up in case the company goes bankrupt and its assets are liquidated.
• EPS or E (Earning Per Share) - is the net income post-tax the company has earned and indicates the cash generating power of the stock.
• DPS or D (Dividend Per Share) - is the dividend earned by the shareholder for every share held and can be viewed as regular cash inflow from stock investment.
• P/E (Price to Earnings ratio) - indicates the premium or discount at which the stock is trading. P/E should be less than 20 (which implies a 5% rate of return on capital invested by you to buy the stock).
• P/B (Price to Book ratio) - indicates how much you are paying for the stock as against the value of its assets in the books. P/B should be less than 5 (which implies if you buy a stock at Rs. 100/- and the company goes bankrupt you can expect to get Rs. 20/- back). 
• ROCE (Return On Capital Employed) - is the cash generating ability of the capital employed by the company in the form of both equity and debt. ROCE should be more than 10%.
• ROE / RONW (Return On Equity or Return On Net Worth) - is the cash generating ability of company for its owners or shareholders. It indicates  the return that can be expected by the owners for assuming the investment risk. ROE should be more than 15%.
• D/E (Debt to Equity ratio) - is the composition of the capital employed by the company and indicates its financial leverage position. Higher leverage would generally translate into higher risk for the business. D/E ratio should be less than 2 (which implies if the capital of a company is Rs. 100/-, debt should not be more than Rs. 66.67)
• DY (Dividend Yield) - is the dividend paid by the stock as against its market price. It indicates the return from the stock in the form of dividends. It indicates how much "hard" cash is shared by the company with its shareholders. DY should be more than 2%.
• DPR (Dividend Payout Ratio) -  indicates the ratio of earnings the company distributes to its shareholders as dividend (or DPS/EPS). DPR should be within 20% to 40%.
• NPM (Net Profit Margin) - is the profit post-tax or the net earnings generated by the company. Annualized growth in NPM during the last 5 years should be more than 10%.
• OPM (Operating Profit Margin) - is the NPM from business operations. It is the net earnings from operations and not from the management of the company's finances. Average OPM during the last 5 years should not be negative.

Read Part 2 here:
Key Financial Terms and Ratios that are Useful for Evaluating Stocks - Part 2

Why Investing is an Extremely Hard Game to Play?

Think about any game.

In most of the games following aspects will generally hold good:

• Past records are known and are a good predictor of future performance.
• Rules of game are well defined.
• Skill is more important than luck (other than in some cases like chance-based card games).
• Rules of game do not change all of a sudden due to any unexpected event occurring suddenly.
• Every player knows how many players and who all are playing the game.
• Duration for which a game is played is known.
• Played in open so what any player does is visible immediately or after a short time lag to all the other players.
• Kind of homework and preparation that needs to be done is known to all players.
• Involves use of both physical and mental faculties (degree of usage varies).
• Uncertainty about future does not have a large bearing on the final outcome of the game.
• Risks that may materialize are limited in number and mostly known to all players.

Investing can also be viewed as a game!

So what does the game of investing involve? Here are some key aspects:

• Past records are known but are not a good predictor of future performance and can only be used to make hypothesized projection of the future performance.
• Rules of game are well defined only in terms of the transactions that need to be made and not the strategy that gets deployed (there are legal considerations as well which need to be adhered to otherwise the penalty incurred may wipe out the entire gains).
• Skill is more important than luck but role of luck is also huge in terms of the uncertainty about the future. Skill is used to analyze past performance and hypothesized projection of the future performance to arrive at an investment decision but a "black swan" event in the future can tilt the final outcome in either direction. Luck or the lack of it can play the role of an angel or a devil respectively.
• Rules of game do not change all of a sudden due to any unexpected event occurring suddenly but since they do not apply to the strategy part of the investing process, the way many of these rules get applied by a player can have a significant material impact on the other players.
• The choice of investment portfolios and the investments within each any player can hold is infinite. The players playing the game of investing would not know how many and who all are playing the game. Not only that, players may be independently playing a game of their own individual choice with multiple intersections though with games being played by the other players simultaneously.
• The duration and the time to enter and exit an investment is not specified and, in fact, forms a crucial part of the strategy to improve the final investment outcome (a player can actually enter and exit multiple number of times).
• Played mostly privately (the first few critical moves are always private) so what any player does is either not visible at all or only after a long time lag to all the other players.
• Kind of homework and preparation that needs to be done is known to all players but is very wide ranging from subjects such as Economic History, Macro Economics, Micro Economics, Behavioral Economics, World History, Politics, Finance & Accounting, Capital Markets, Human Psychology, Mathematics, Statistics. With such a wide range of subjects a player ought to understand, the homework and preparation required is indeed a tough one and since things are ever evolving it always remains in a work in progress state.
• Involves use of mental faculties primarily (analysis and due deliberation performed at times are very comprehensive and highly complex).
• Uncertainty about future has a large bearing on the final outcome of the game (both on the negative as well as the positive side).
• Risks that may materialize are large in number (including geo-political and macro-economic factors across the world) and not known to all players in equal measure and at the same time.

So it is evident that investing is like any other game.

However, investing, is unlike other games in many ways. The nature, scope and complexity of the game of investing makes it extremely hard.

I Want To Become Rich And I Don't Want To Do Any Bloody Job

That's what you might think at times.

"I Want To Become Rich And I Don't Want To Do Any Bloody Job"

There's really nothing wrong if you think this way.

When you are rich you are not a wage slave. You get to live life from the level of f**k you.

If someone pisses you off, you don't need to explain anything. You can just say f**k you!

Here are more things that happen then:

• If you meet someone who is incompetent, you can just say f**k you!
• If you meet someone who is an ass with a stinky hole, you can just say f**k you!
• If you meet someone who is short but carries a big ego, you can just say f**k you!

Professional Colleagues or College Friends?

What happens to an organization where those working for it act like college friends and not professional colleagues?

The first question you may want to ask would be - what's the difference?

Heck, there is a lot of difference. In fact, there are only differences.

Someone who is a professional will generally stay away from the following:

• Go below a a certain level of decorum even if they meet the colleagues outside office
• Interact in a manner which is too informal and using unpolished language
• Watch funny videos with others in the office
• Crack certain types of jokes with others
• Spend the entire working day (almost) in small talk with others
• Share too many personal and trivial details with others
• Get drunk in office parties and talk non-sense with one another

Identifying and Handling Your Anxieties

Identifying and handling your anxieties is a very powerful way to understand your true drivers in life and what makes you feel energetic and what makes you dull.

Here are some of things that can cause you anxiety:

• Staying late at work for too many days in a row
• Dealing with the corporate asses at your workplace
• Negotiating with someone unreasonable and unfair to deal with
• Dealing with long-time stooges of the management
• Being forced to report into an incompetent ass who is a scheming lunatic and a hard-core stooge as well
• Having someone incompetent sit in judgment of your work
• Coming across people who carry a big ego and superiority complex
• Dealing with people at work who are more like college friends than professional colleagues

Why I Don't Want to be a Worker Anymore?

Have you ever had this thought cross your mind?

I don't want to be a worker anymore.

And it shouldn't be this way because you are lazy, or you are not competent, or you want an easy life. No. Not really.

The answer should actually lie somewhere else.

In the modern society the key to having a good life is money, having enough of it.

Of course, it is not just money, but money is the primary and the first ingredient for a good life.

Money in current system is controlled and moved by those who own it.

Who are these people?

They are the capitalists (this term, broadly speaking, includes investors too). They own money and hence own the system in some sense.

Everybody else is a worker.

And if you are not a capitalist then you are a worker.

Why Investors Shouldn't be Fooled by The Success Mantras of Super-Investors?

One of the inferences that can be drawn from the the book "Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is this:

If there are N investors who put their money in the market at a given period in time, n1 of them (n1 = x1 * N, where x1 is very close to 0) would end up as great investors in that period.

Also n2 of n1 (n2 = x2 * n1, where x2 is ever further closer to 0 as compared to x1) would end up as great investors across multiple periods and hence turn out to be super-investors eventually.

The n1 who end up as great investors and the n2 who turn out to be super-investors eventually may be as a result of not merely their skill but probably in equal measure as a result of the law of probability.

The above would mean that there has to be some people who will eventually become a Warren Buffet or a Philip Fisher or a Peter Lynch or a Bill Ackman.

The success of above people shouldn't be seen as anything unusual and surprising. Some n2 people had to turn out to be super-investors eventually and the above happens to be their names.

Once names are attached to those who are part of the n2, then their success is dissected and analyzed and codified into success mantras - rules, theories and concepts - that supposedly helped these investors turn out to be super-investors.

However, the success mantras of the n2 super-investors will probably be different from one another.

Not only that the success mantra of a super-investor will also perhaps be different across multiple time periods.

What that would mean is that there is no single success mantra that worked for all super-investors through all periods with same level of success consistently.

And hence, the success mantras that have worked in the past may not necessarily work even in the next period with 100% certainty.

Forget about the period next to that and the one after that!

Here's something worth taking a closer look at:

"This year's top-performing mutual funds aren't necessarily going to be next year's best performers.

It’s not uncommon for a fund to have better-than-average performance one year and mediocre or below-average performance the following year.

That's why the SEC requires funds to tell investors that a fund's past performance does not necessarily predict future results."

(Source: https://www.sec.gov/answers/mperf.htm)

The statement "past performance does not necessarily predict future results" or something similar is a common but very important statement which is often used as a legal disclaimer by investment firms and yet generally ignored by most who invest money with such firms.

What applies to mutual funds and investment firms applies equally well to the n2 and even the n1 investors - past performance does not necessarily predict future results.

So for any investor it is important not to be fooled by the success mantras of the super-investors (as also the great investors) and hence not to try to directly emulate them.

It is certainly a good idea to study and analyze the various success mantras that have worked in the past but not be blinded by them.

It is definitely very useful to learn key lessons from all this study and analysis.

In the end, however, every investor has to find her own success mantra.

If an investor follows her tried and tested success mantras and turns out to be a super-investor it would be great.

However, it should not be forgotten that this could again be a result of not merely the skill but probably in equal measure as a result of the law of probability.

It is easy to be fooled by randomness and ignore the hidden role of chance in life and in the market!

How is Health and Happiness Related to Wealth?

Does having more wealth make you healthier and happier?

This is a question which needs deeper probing as it can help understand the psychology behind why most people stuck in their daily rut try to acquire more and more wealth.

The underlying assumption is that if you are wealthy, then you would be healthy and happy too!

Some people defer their happiness to a certain point in the future.

Their driving motivation is - "I will be happy when I have got X amount of money".

Having that X amount of money can give you financial freedom but not necessarily health and happiness.

Whichever life situation you may be, you can and should strive to remain healthy and happy.

Being healthy is about living a simple life, eating simple and wholesome food and doing some exercises regularly.

It is also important to avoid smoking and too much drinking and taking proper rest.

And finally, it is crucial for being healthy not to get overly stressed about anything at work or elsewhere.

Feeling happy is purely a state of mind.

If you love yourself, have self-esteem and self-confidence and think and do good, you can easily be happy.

It is true that the above is tough given that you are generally surrounded by a lot of negative people and a lot of negativity.

However, remaining positive at all times, especially the turbulent ones, is easier if you are healthy and happy.

It is even far easier if you are wealthy as well.

Being healthy and feeling happy is certainly correlated with being wealthy.

When your net worth is negative (means you are in debt) it will surely have adverse impact on your health and happiness.

As you wealth grows and moves above the zero level, so would your health and happiness also grow.

The marginal increase in your wealth will keep on declining as your wealth grows further and further.

After that point, increase in wealth will have zero impact on your health and happiness.

Here's how the curve of health and happiness versus wealth would typically look like:



It is important to always remember that being healthy and happy is certainly correlated with being wealthy.

Till a point of course.

And after that wealth doesn't really matter!

I Was Not Born Rich But I Would Want To Die Rich For Sure

The world is inevitably moving towards a state where your economic well-being and status is increasingly going to decide how your life experience is going to be like - from the time you are born till you die.

You can't choose to be born rich. When you are born is the first instance, and perhaps the most significant of them all, when lady luck can play a make or break role in how you would live your life.

If your are lucky, you would be born as the son and daughter of a wealthy parents. You would be as they say born with the proverbial "silver spoon in the mouth".

You are guaranteed a comfortable and secure childhood in most likelihood. You would have access to most of the basic necessities and some more.

You would get an opportunity to go to a decent school, get educated, maintain reasonable health and may be inherit some wealth.

In case you are born in a poor family, the dice is loaded against you right from the start.

Playing the game of cards after you have been dealt "not so good" set of cards can be a tough act for even the best of the players.

The worst thing about being poor is that you may not even get the opportunity to go to a decent school, get educated, maintain reasonable health (things which are taken for granted by most of us).

So what you are born as - rich or poor - is a matter of luck!

However, once you grow up into an independent and mature adult, what happens in you life would start depending more on your abilities and how things play out in your life.

At this point in your life, you and others like you would be at par in a certain sense. What happens from this point onward would bear upon whether you die rich or not.

It is important for every person to strive to become rich and wealthy in their life-time in case they were not born rich.

As is accepted as a universal truth, in life you must strive only for three things - character, health and wealth.

Among these three wealth takes the third place in the order of importance and rightly so.

So as long as you take care of the first two - character and health, you are set for life.

Then focus on wealth.

When it comes to wealth, you should strive to accumulate as much as is possible without becoming sick or killing yourself through work stress.

Also stay totally away from using unfair and unethical means, which, at times, can lead you to spend the last part of your life in prison - think of Enron and Bernie Madoff!

For a happy and successful life, being wealthy certainly helps.

Hence, you should always think of the following and strive to become rich:

"I was not born rich but would want to die rich for sure"